Centrum Campaign / Electoral Calculus – European Parliamentary Elections Poll – May 2019
Survey of GB adults and their voting intention ahead of the European Parliamentary elections.

ComRes/Centrum Campaign / Electoral Calculus European Parliament Voting Intention:

Poll MRP
Con 14% 14%
Lab 26% 27%
BRX 28% 26%
LD 11% 11%
CHUK 8% 8%
UKIP 2% 3%
SNP/PC 4% 4%
Green 6% 6%
Other 1% <1%
  • The Brexit Party and the Labour Party are neck-and-neck to ‘win’ the European Parliamentary elections in the UK, with both parties polling in the mid-to-high 20s across both traditional polling and MRP.
  • The rise of The Brexit Party seems to be having a greatest impact on the Conservative vote share, which is down in the teens.
  • The split of the ‘Remain’ vote between Change UK, the Liberal Democrats and the Green Party could prevent any from making large breakthroughs in terms of seats.
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Date Published
09/05/2019
Client
Centrum Campaign
Methodology
ComRes surveyed 4,060 GB adults online between 1st – 7th May 2019. Data were weighted to be demographically representative of all GB adults by age, gender, region and social grade. Data were also weighted by 2017 General Election past vote recall and 2016 EU Referendum results. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.

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