Daily Telegraph GE2019 Voting Intention Poll
First Savanta ComRes GE2019 Voting Intention poll on behalf of the Daily Telegraph. Includes attitudes towards potential manifesto polices, which party is running the better campaign, and general views towards each of the parties and their leaders.

Savanta ComRes/ Daily Telegraph Voting Intention

 

Base: All respondents likely to vote and expressing a voting intention (n=1,604)

 

Con 40% +3
Lab 30% +1
LD 16% -1
Brex 7% -2
Green 3% -
SNP 4% -
Other 1% -1

(nb adds up to 101% due to rounding)

(% in second column relate to SavantaComRes/ Britain Elects poll on the 11th November 2019)

 

  • Savanta ComRes’ latest voting intention shows Conservatives in the lead with 40% of the vote, leading the Labour Party by 10 percentage points (40% vs. 30%) - our largest Conservative lead since before the 2017 election. We did make a slight methodological tweak to account for the Brexit Party not standing in half the seats – they didn’t appear in our main ‘prompt’.
  • If the parties were to achieve these vote shares at a General Election, it would result in Conservatives having a majority of 110 (Con 380, Lab 194, LD 19, SNP 36, Brex 0, PC 2, Grn 1, source: www.electoralcalculus.co.uk)
  • The Remain vote splitting more equally between Labour & Lib Dems is Labour’s biggest issue – the Leave vote overwhelmingly goes Conservative.
  • Around half of British adults agree they feel they have a good understanding of the Conservatives, Lib Dems or Brexit Party's Brexit Policy (53%, 49% and 48% respectively). Conversely, only a third (34%) agree they have a good understanding on Labour's Brexit policy.
  • Among 2016 Remain voters only two in five (40%) agree they have a good understanding of the Labour Party's Brexit policy. Conversely three in five (62%) Leave voters agree they have a good understanding of the Conservative Party's Brexit policy.
  • British adults who voted Conservative in 2017 are more likely to say they would prefer a Conservative-led Government after next month's election than those who voted Labour in 2017 would say about a Labour-led Government (80% vs. 67% respectively).
  • All of the policies tested were relatively popular, besides holding a second Scottish Independent Referendum.
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Date Published
13/11/2019
Client
Daily Telegraph
Methodology
Methodology: Savanta ComRes interviewed 2,022 British adults online from the 11th-12th November 2019. Data were weighted to be demographically representative of all GB adults. All questions were also weighted by 2017 past vote recall and EU Referendum past vote. Voting Intention is also weighted by likelihood to vote. Savanta ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. 

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