UKIP LEADING IN EURO ELECTIONS RACE
The UK Independence Party is on course to win the largest share of the vote in the European Parliament elections in May, according to a ComRes opinion poll for The Independent on Sunday and SundayMirror.
UKIP 30% (+3)
Lab 28% (+5)
Con 21% (0)
LD 8% (-10)
Green 6% (+2)
Other 7% (0)
(Change since May 2013 in brackets.)
This is the first poll to ask separate questions about the European elections for some time. The figures for European voting are based on the 38 per cent who say they are “absolutely certain” to vote in those elections - roughly comparable to the 34 per cent turnout in the last elections in 2009.
For the general election, however, Labour's lead has slipped by two points to three, giving the Conservatives hope of closing the gap if they can hold the Ukip advance.
Con 32% (0)
Lab 35% (-2)
LD 9% (NC)
UKIP 16% (+1)
Other 8% (+1)
(Change since comparable figures for last month.)
Nor has there been a significant increase in the numbers expecting Ed Miliband to be prime minister: 23 per cent think he will be PM after the next election (up 2 since December), and 39 per cent think he will not be (down 1), although 37 per cent say they don’t know.
The poll suggests the Conservatives are gaining ground on the economy, with the level of trust in David Cameron and George Osborne to make the right decisions at the highest level (31 per cent) for two and a half years.