No campaign takes lead in AV referendumThe No vote has overtaken Yes for the first time in a poll asking the official referendum question on changing the voting system, reports a new ComRes poll for the Sunday Mirror and The Independent on Sunday tomorrow.At present, the UK uses the “first past the post” system to elect MPs to the House of Commons. Should the “alternative vote” system be used instead?____Jan Feb NowYes 36% 40% 34%No 30% 30% 37%DK 34% 30% 28%Figures adjusted to take into account certainty to vote.All other pollsters using the actual wording on the ballot have shown Yes in the lead, with the smallest lead - two points - reported by ICM, 20 February.Voting intention:Con 37% (+1)Lab 40% (-2)LD 11% (nc)Others 12% (+1)Change since previous poll for The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror, 13 February.The Budget:I believe that George Osborne, the Chancellor, is "on my side" in dealing with the country's economic problemsAgree: 23%Disagree: 50%Unsurprisingly, 53% of Conservative voters agree – compared with 8% of Labour and 28% of Lib Dem voters.When Ed Miliband, the Labour leader, talks about the "squeezed middle" he is talking about people like me and my familyAgree: 48%Disagree: 28%On this question, there is less of a partisan divide: 68% of Labour voters agree, compared to 40% of Conservative and 42% of Lib Dem voters.Cancelling the planned 1p increase in fuel duty in the Budget would not be enough to help motoristsAgree: 80%Disagree: 10%The cuts are unfair because they will be felt more by the poor than by wealthier householdsAgree: 63% (Nov: 56%; Dec: 57%, Feb: 63%)Disagree: 25% (Nov: 30%; Dec: 28%, Feb: 24%)There is a significant party split: 90% of Labour supporters agree, compared with 27% of Conservative and 53% of Lib Dems.Bankers are making a fair contribution to the cost of getting the public finances back on trackAgree: 9%Disagree: 78%Finally, we asked about the Duke of York:David Cameron should have sacked Prince Andrew from his role as an international trade ambassador when his judgement over personal friendships was first called into questionAgree: 38%Disagree: 33%Don’t know: 29%Older people are more censorious: 47% of those aged 65+ agree, compared with 26% of people aged 18-24.ComRes interviewed 2,004 GB adults online on 9-10 March 2011. Data were weighted to be representative of all adults and by past vote. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.
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