The Telegraph – Voting Intention and Brexit Poll - April 2019
Survey of GB adults on their voting intention, and policy preferences and their views on Brexit.
  • Two-fifths (40%) of the public see revoking Article 50 and remaining in the EU as an acceptable Brexit outcome – but an almost identical proportion (38%) also see leaving with no-deal in four days’ time as an acceptable Brexit outcome.
  • The two main parties are neck-and-neck in the voting intention (32% apiece) but with both dropping a few percentage points since our previous Daily Telegraph voting intention poll. The Conservative and Labour combined vote share is the lowest in a ComRes poll since 2015.
  • Change UK and UKIP appear to be the main beneficiaries, with the independent grouping rising by two percentage points, and UKIP up by three.
  • If the parties were to achieve these vote shares at a General Election it would result in Conservatives being the largest party but 38 seats short of a majority (Con 288, Lab 255, SNP 50, LD 18, Grn 1, PC 4, CHUK 15, source: www.electoralcalculus.co.uk)
  • The poll also asked voters whether they would trust the Conservatives or Labour with managing four key aspects of Government - the economy, defence, immigration policy and public services like the NHS.
  • Neither party attracted a majority of voters who would trust them to manage any aspect, although 49% said they would trust the Conservatives to manage defence policy and 46% would trust Labour to run public services like the NHS.
  • Alarmingly for Jeremy Corbyn, almost four in ten 2017 Labour voters (37%) would not trust the Party to manage defence policy.
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Date Published
09/04/2019
Client
The Telegraph
Methodology
ComRes surveyed 2,018 GB adults online between 5th – 7th April 2019. Data were weighted to be demographically representative of all GB adults by age, gender, region and social grade as well as 2017 General Election and 2016 EU Referendum past vote recall. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.

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